Private credit and alternative funds race to fill lending gap as Middle East banks turn cautious

Private credit has become the Middle East’s fastest-growing asset class. Regional sovereign wealth funds now control billions in direct lending mandates. Banks have pulled back from riskier borrowers to chase lucrative government contracts. This creates a massive opportunity for non-bank lenders targeting underserved sectors.

GCC commercial banks dedicate less than 2% of portfolios to SMEs. The global average sits at 22%. Sovereign mega-projects absorb most lending capacity in Saudi Arabia and the UAE. Private credit steps into this void with flexible structures that traditional finance cannot match. Family businesses gain funding without diluting ownership. Free zone companies access growth capital within weeks rather than months.

Mubadala Capital led the charge with a $3 billion private credit platform. PIF’s Jada Fund followed with its second vintage targeting mid-market loans. ADQ partnered with Apollo Global for real estate debt. Lunate launched a $1.5 billion vehicle focused on logistics and healthcare financings. These vehicles offer 10-12% yields in a world where public bonds barely clear 5%.

Regulators accelerated the trend. Dubai’s VARA approved the region’s first tokenized private credit fund. Abu Dhabi Global Market streamlined Sharia-compliant structures. Bahrain’s CBB eased foreign fund registrations. These changes lower barriers for global managers entering the market. Ares Management expanded its Dubai office to originate local deals. Blackstone hired regional credit specialists from HSBC.

SME owners tell a consistent story. Bank loans demand personal guarantees and years of audited accounts. Private credit focuses on cash flow and collateral. A Dubai logistics firm secured AED 50 million last month against warehouse assets. Repayment terms included revenue share rather than fixed coupons. This flexibility suits cyclical businesses exposed to oil swings and now regional conflict.

The Iran crisis adds tailwinds. Banks face higher risk weights on volatile sectors like aviation and hospitality. Private funds thrive in this environment. They deploy smaller tickets across diversified borrowers. Sovereign backing provides downside protection absent in pure-play managers. Conflict-driven oil spikes boost government deposits, creating dry powder for fresh mandates.

Numbers underscore the scale. MENA’s private credit AUM doubled to $45 billion since 2023. Gulf sovereign funds account for 60% of new commitments. The UAE free zones alone represent $150 billion in unmet SME needs through 2030. Venture debt funds now finance 15% of Series B rounds in Saudi tech startups.

Risks exist but appear manageable. Illiquid portfolios demand patient capital. Sovereign firepower covers potential losses. Local pioneers like Rasmala and Shorooq raised Gulf mandates exceeding $500 million combined. Global partnerships bring sophisticated underwriting. This convergence promises a decade of double-digit growth.

For the region, private credit represents more than yield chasing. It funds economic diversification at scale. Hydrocarbon wealth transforms into engines powering SME-led economies. Banks may eventually follow, but for now non-bank lenders own this multi-billion-dollar opportunity. The question becomes which managers build lasting franchises amid intensifying competition.

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Paul Carvouni, CEO
Salesforce

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